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Kate Kearney

Portland, OR
3.5S year-end 2025
22 matches · 6W–16L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
2.93
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 12 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
81%
down to 3.0
19%
stay 3.5
0%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 55% down · 45% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.99. Higher than today’s 2.93 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Portland · 3.5
422 of 425
OR · 3.5
859 of 864
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Kate is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Kate has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 2 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.520192026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
0W–3L
not enough matches yet
3.5
0%
0W–4L · 21% of games
7.0
40%
2W–3L · 36.6% of games
6.0mixed
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
20%
1W–4L · 38.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history22 matches
W
2026-08-02 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Eric Ayers
+0.000better than expected — took 54% of games against 43% expected
6-4, 6-7, 1-0
L
2026-06-28 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Jeff Anhaltzer
+0.000below expectation — took 41% of games against 48% expected
6-3, 7-6
L
2026-06-26 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Steve Douglas
+0.000below expectation — took 14% of games against 25% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
2026-05-30 · #2 Singles · 3.5
0.040below expectation — took 14% of games against 40% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
Elsa Bice
2026-04-18 · #1 Singles · 3.5
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-0
L
2026-03-16 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jana Hirst
0.042below expectation — took 32% of games against 53% expected
6-1, 7-5
W
2026-03-06 · #1 Female Doubles · 7.0 · with Miki Han
+0.007about as expected — took 60% of games against 56% expected
6-4
L
2026-02-27 · #1 Female Singles · 7.0
0.059below expectation — took 0% of games against 37% expected
6-0
L
Michaela Weller - *
2026-01-25 · #1 Female Singles · 7.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3
L
2026-01-23 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Nancy Osborne
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-2
L
2026-01-18 · #2 Mixed Doubles · 7.0 · with Austin Nguyen
0.147below expectation — took 0% of games against 67% expected
6-0
W
Jessica Li / Erika Shaylitsa
2026-01-04 · #1 Female Doubles · 7.0 · with Miki Han
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.