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Bret O'Rourke

MUKILTEO, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
127 matches · 59W–68L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.85
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 8 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
97%
stay 3.0
3%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 99% stay · 1% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.80. Lower than today’s 2.85 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 3.0
510 of 755

Bret is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Bret has been a steady 3.0 across all 5 seasons on record.

2.53.020212022202320242025

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Bret has gone from the 27th to the 7th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.0
34.3%
12W–23L · 45.8% of games
3.5
0W–3L
not enough matches yet
6.0
60%
9W–6L · 56.1% of games
7.0
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
52.7%
29W–26L · 52.3% of games
7.0mixed
33.3%
3W–6L · 41.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history127 matches
L
Stacy Chia / Ben Chiamixed
2026-07-11 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Chrissy O'Rourke
+0.000below expectation — took 8% of games against 36% expected
6-0, 6-1
L
William Kennelly / Shelley Hagstrommixed
2026-07-10 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Stacey Coad
+0.000better than expected — took 53% of games against 37% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Melissa Manier / Humberto Hernandezmixed
2026-06-27 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Chrissy O'Rourke
+0.000about as expected — took 41% of games against 43% expected
6-3, 7-6
L
2026-06-13 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Chrissy O'Rourke
+0.000below expectation — took 20% of games against 39% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
2025-11-22 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Tony Carey
0.013about as expected — took 47% of games against 52% expected
6-3, 3-6, 1-0
L
Alana Holmquist / Imants Holmquistmixed
2025-11-09 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Lisa Okimoto
+0.000below expectation — took 38% of games against 47% expected
6-3, 7-5
L
2025-11-09 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Kim Smith
0.042below expectation — took 20% of games against 44% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
Andrew Sanders / Tee Yokobe
2025-09-27 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Michael Beals
+0.050better than expected — took 59% of games against 36% expected
6-4, 0-6, 1-0
L
Denise Angelone / David Angelonemixed
2025-08-09 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Tracy McCarron
+0.000below expectation — took 20% of games against 52% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
Hector Hernandez / Ryan McLaughlin
2025-08-03 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Sean McCarron
+0.005about as expected — took 42% of games against 41% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
W
Zhe Zhang / Yunda Huangmixed
2025-08-03 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Marie Fahey
+0.000better than expected — took 80% of games against 68% expected
6-3, 6-0
L
2025-07-19 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Chrissy O'Rourke
+0.000below expectation — took 29% of games against 40% expected
6-4, 6-1
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.