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Nicole Hardie

Seattle, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
191 matches · 126W–65L · seasons 20202026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.47
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 27 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
65%
stay 3.5
35%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 91% stay · 9% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.39. Lower than today’s 3.47 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.5
28 of 256
WA · 3.5
134 of 1209

Nicole is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Nicole has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 7 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.52020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Nicole has gone from the 78th to the 76th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level8 levels played
0.0
2W–0L
not enough matches yet
3.0
74.2%
23W–8L · 63.7% of games
3.5
62.5%
45W–27L · 54.4% of games
4.0
25%
3W–9L · 47.4% of games
7.0
50%
3W–3L · 50% of games
6.0mixed
92.6%
25W–2L · 64.2% of games
7.0mixed
58.6%
17W–12L · 49.5% of games
8.0mixed
71.4%
5W–2L · 57.3% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history191 matches
L
Marcia Hood / Muff Heffernan
2026-07-22 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jennifer Meisner
0.011about as expected — took 52% of games against 55% expected
3-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
Richard Clark / Tara Jamesmixed
2026-07-12 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Ryan Hardie
+0.000about as expected — took 43% of games against 43% expected
7-6, 6-4
L
Lara Wagner / Julie Bouscaren
2026-06-23 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Chardie Byrne
0.013below expectation — took 40% of games against 47% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
2026-06-17 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Leah Allen
0.009about as expected — took 45% of games against 49% expected
6-3, 5-7, 1-0
W
Sandy Margoles / Richard Golpheneemixed
2026-06-12 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Ross Bunker
+0.000below expectation — took 50% of games against 61% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Jonnel Bowser
2026-05-29 · #2 Singles · 4.0
0.019below expectation — took 20% of games against 36% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
Nomin Ulziisaikhan / Daye Chung
2026-05-24 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jennifer Meisner
+0.030better than expected — took 75% of games against 57% expected
6-4, 6-0
L
Min Park / Carlisle Quill
2026-05-15 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lori Clithero
0.017below expectation — took 35% of games against 45% expected
6-1, 7-6
W
Nan Li / Mayret Talonia
2026-05-15 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Victoria Szydlowski
0.009about as expected — took 62% of games against 63% expected
7-6, 6-2
W
Anne Luong / Lorraine Eng
2026-04-19 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lori Clithero
+0.034better than expected — took 86% of games against 63% expected
6-2, 6-0
W
2026-04-11 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jennifer Meisner
+0.026better than expected — took 75% of games against 59% expected
6-0, 6-4
L
2026-03-27 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Terri Smith
+0.017about as expected — took 41% of games against 37% expected
3-6, 6-1, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.