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Sarah Gardner

Seattle, WA
2.5C year-end 2025
40 matches · 18W–22L · seasons 2021–2026
Bump probability
2.02.53.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
2.78
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 9 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.0
0%
stay 2.5
100%
up to 3.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 6% stay · 94% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.62. Lower than today’s 2.78 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 2.5 runs from 2.01 to 2.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Seattle · 2.5
5 of 106
WA · 2.5
18 of 393
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Sarah is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Sarah has played at 3.0, 2.5 across 6 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

2.02.53.0202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Sarah has gone from the 3rd to the 34th percentile of players at that level, 2021 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
2.5
100%
4W–0L · 62% of games
3.0
35.5%
11W–20L · 41.8% of games
6.0mixed
60%
3W–2L · 55.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history40 matches
L
2026-05-17 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jolene Parisio
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
2-6, 7-5, 1-0
W
Jennifer Jensen / Irina Salvan
2026-05-15 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Judith Ma
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-3
W
2026-05-03 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Mary Jordan
−0.039below expectation — took 44% of games against 62% expected
6-3, 0-6, 1-0
W
Jenny Gruenberg / Cindy Li
2026-04-12 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Susan Tamcsin
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-3
L
2026-04-04 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jolene Parisio
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-7, 6-2, 1-0
W
Bonnie Feher / Gesina Howard
2026-04-03 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Susan Tamcsin
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-1
L
Christine Livesay / Naomi Arnold
2026-03-29 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Erin Schiller
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-2
W
2026-02-07 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Nikki Wildfang
+0.004about as expected — took 52% of games against 51% expected
7-6, 6-7, 1-0
W
2026-01-25 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Nikki Wildfang
+0.002better than expected — took 75% of games against 67% expected
6-4, 6-0
W
2025-05-10 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Sara Molina
+0.001about as expected — took 57% of games against 56% expected
6-2, 5-7, 1-0
W
2025-05-03 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Erin Schiller
+0.013better than expected — took 55% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 4-6, 1-0
L
2025-03-02 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Nadine Zgonc
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.