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Sarah McKinney

Seattle, WA
4.0C year-end 2025
115 matches · 73W–42L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.46
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 10 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
69%
down to 3.5
31%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 43% down · 57% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.51. Higher than today’s 3.46 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 4.0
176 of 186
WA · 4.0
752 of 782

Sarah is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Sarah has played at 3.0, 3.5, 4.0 across 7 seasons — 2 moves up and 0 down.

2.53.03.54.02019202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Sarah has gone from the 51st to the 7th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.0
75%
9W–3L · 59.2% of games
3.5
86.7%
39W–6L · 61% of games
4.0
34.4%
11W–21L · 44.2% of games
8.0mixed
66.7%
8W–4L · 55.3% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history115 matches
L
2026-07-16 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kieran Oaksmith
+0.005about as expected — took 31% of games against 35% expected
6-1, 5-4
L
Carol Gregory / Laura Walsh
2026-07-06 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Chelsea Schanno
0.006about as expected — took 38% of games against 43% expected
7-6, 6-2
L
2026-06-30 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with EJ Blanchfield
0.018below expectation — took 8% of games against 29% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
2026-05-15 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sarah Robinson
0.007below expectation — took 29% of games against 38% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Michelle Lin / Jennifer Johnson
2026-05-08 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Karen Sheppard
+0.006about as expected — took 59% of games against 56% expected
6-3, 7-6
L
2026-03-27 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Chelsea Schanno
0.009about as expected — took 43% of games against 48% expected
6-4, 7-6
L
2026-02-28 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kieran Oaksmith
+0.031better than expected — took 48% of games against 36% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Michelle Hill / Hien Nguyen
2026-02-21 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jeannie Trautmann
0.001about as expected — took 57% of games against 57% expected
6-0, 1-6, 1-0
L
Grace Lee / Yasmeen Mar
2026-01-31 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sandy Dickinson
0.024below expectation — took 25% of games against 41% expected
6-0, 6-4
L
2026-01-09 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Aime Mitchell
0.016below expectation — took 25% of games against 38% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2025-08-06 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kieran Oaksmith
+0.041better than expected — took 61% of games against 43% expected
7-5, 4-2
L
2025-07-31 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with EJ Blanchfield
+0.030better than expected — took 37% of games against 30% expected
6-4, 6-3
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

None of it is visible to anyone else. Not to other players, not on your public page, not in search. Every private table is scoped to your account at the database level, so it is enforced rather than promised. The public page you are looking at is built from USTA match results and nothing else.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.