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Sarah Barnes

Renton, WA
3.5S year-end 2025
25 matches · 6W–19L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.97
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 12 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
62%
down to 3.0
38%
stay 3.5
0%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 38% down · 62% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.02. Higher than today’s 2.97 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Renton · 3.5
22 of 22
WA · 3.5
1601 of 1624

Sarah is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Sarah has been 3.5 for all 3 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

3.03.5201920212026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Sarah has gone from the 36th to the 3rd percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
3.5
21.7%
5W–18L · 39.4% of games
8.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history25 matches
L
2026-07-09 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kim Schmanke
+0.014below expectation — took 20% of games against 26% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
2026-07-08 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lisa Small
+0.033better than expected — took 50% of games against 37% expected
1-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
Jingjing Cai / Sarah Yoon
2026-06-23 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kate Kennedy
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-06-18 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kim Schmanke
0.028below expectation — took 8% of games against 32% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
Lisa Derheim / Sherry Kebeck
2026-05-29 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Monika Sharma
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-1
L
2026-05-22 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Baxi Vu
0.088below expectation — took 0% of games against 48% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-05-21 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Sunita Shastri
+0.004about as expected — took 41% of games against 41% expected
6-1, 3-6, 1-0
W
Julie Martin / Natalie Warner
2026-05-15 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Baxi Vu
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-4
L
2026-04-09 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lisa Small
0.014below expectation — took 38% of games against 46% expected
7-6, 6-2
L
2026-02-05 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Precious Puttick
0.066below expectation — took 35% of games against 63% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
Sandy Rudolph / Carla Johnson
2026-01-30 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mindy Park
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-2
L
2026-01-22 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Sunita Shastri
0.022below expectation — took 53% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 1-6, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.