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Elizabeth Carson

Mercer Island, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
101 matches · 58W–43L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.47
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 14 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
63%
stay 3.5
37%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 90% stay · 10% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.40. Lower than today’s 3.47 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Mercer Island · 3.5
12 of 63
WA · 3.5
127 of 1209

Elizabeth is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Elizabeth has been 3.5 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.03.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Elizabeth has gone from the 14th to the 99th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
58.2%
39W–28L · 55% of games
4.0
37.5%
3W–5L · 43.9% of games
6.0mixed
83.3%
5W–1L · 73.4% of games
7.0mixed
40%
4W–6L · 45.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history101 matches
L
2026-07-23 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Paula Holtzclaw
−0.007below expectation — took 35% of games against 41% expected
7-6, 6-1
L
2026-07-20 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jill Hawkins
−0.003below expectation — took 25% of games against 34% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
2026-06-17 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Amie Fahey
−0.037below expectation — took 20% of games against 42% expected
6-3, 6-0
L
2026-05-03 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Amie Fahey
−0.022below expectation — took 38% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 7-6
W
2026-05-01 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Helen Kelly
+0.026better than expected — took 62% of games against 49% expected
6-3, 7-5
L
2026-04-17 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sally Brick
−0.045below expectation — took 38% of games against 58% expected
6-3, 7-5
W
2026-04-11 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Stephanie Kornblum
+0.055better than expected — took 62% of games against 39% expected
7-6, 6-2
W
2026-03-28 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Amie Fahey
+0.050better than expected — took 60% of games against 39% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
2026-03-07 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Delyse Dickinson
+0.004about as expected — took 56% of games against 52% expected
0-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-02-22 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jillian Hagstrom
+0.035better than expected — took 60% of games against 44% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
Akiko Leeman / Evelyn Wong
2026-02-06 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Helen Kelly
+0.028better than expected — took 86% of games against 64% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
2026-01-31 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jillian Hagstrom
+0.025better than expected — took 68% of games against 55% expected
6-0, 7-6
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.