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Sara Shelton

Seattle, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
59 matches · 23W–36L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.12
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 7 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
7%
down to 3.0
93%
stay 3.5
0%
up to 4.0

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the lower half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.5
231 of 256
WA · 3.5
1060 of 1209

Sara is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Sara has been 3.5 for all 7 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

3.03.52019202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Sara has gone from the 27th to the 17th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
3.5
36.2%
17W–30L · 43.4% of games
7.0
50%
6W–6L · 51.4% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history59 matches
W
2026-06-04 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Michelle Summers
0.006about as expected — took 67% of games against 64% expected
6-2, 6-4
W
2026-05-07 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Julie Stutz
0.002about as expected — took 57% of games against 57% expected
7-6, 6-4
L
2026-04-16 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jodi Merrywell
0.018below expectation — took 20% of games against 36% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
Catherine Davidson / Celia Evans
2026-04-13 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Terriko Somers
+0.012about as expected — took 42% of games against 39% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
L
Stephanie Gauthier / Airi Taniguchi
2026-03-26 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Robin Kellogg
0.050below expectation — took 14% of games against 43% expected
6-0, 6-2
W
Anu Ganesan / Debra Simmonds
2025-10-12 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Christi Nagle
+0.007better than expected — took 86% of games against 71% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
Celia Evans / Jennifer Ederer
2025-09-28 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Pam MacDuff
0.000about as expected — took 53% of games against 51% expected
6-3, 1-6, 1-0
L
2025-05-08 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jodi Merrywell
+0.014about as expected — took 42% of games against 38% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
W
Naomi Knight / Denise Kaestle
2025-04-25 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Terriko Somers
+0.037better than expected — took 61% of games against 44% expected
4-6, 6-1, 1-0
W
2025-04-24 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Heather Curtis
+0.004about as expected — took 53% of games against 52% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
Kristy Charles / Michele Rasmussen
2025-04-17 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Michelle Summers
0.052below expectation — took 41% of games against 62% expected
7-5, 6-4
W
Rose Marie Gai / Marla Vasilatos
2025-04-03 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Colleen Blaikie
+0.046better than expected — took 67% of games against 44% expected
6-2, 6-4
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.