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Ericka Nelson

Portland, OR
3.5C year-end 2025
102 matches · 43W–59L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.08
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 14 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
16%
down to 3.0
84%
stay 3.5
0%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 10% down · 90% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.10. Higher than today’s 3.08 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 3.5
356 of 399
OR · 3.5
669 of 735

Ericka is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams25 teams · 2019–2027
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Ericka has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 7 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.52019202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Ericka has gone from the 18th to the 32nd percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.0
43.5%
20W–26L · 46.8% of games
3.5
51.4%
19W–18L · 47.3% of games
6.0mixed
0W–3L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
25%
4W–12L · 40.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history102 matches
L
2026-07-05 · VTC-Porter/Griffith · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Rob Laing
+0.000about as expected — took 35% of games against 33% expected
6-1, 7-6
L
2026-07-03 · VTC-Porter/Griffith · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Pete Kovalenko
+0.000below expectation — took 25% of games against 38% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2026-05-31 · VTC-Griffith · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Janet Mills
0.019below expectation — took 56% of games against 63% expected
6-1, 2-6, 1-0
L
Barbara Griffin / Julia Martin
2026-05-17 · VTC-Griffith · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Annie Sumpter
0.038below expectation — took 14% of games against 39% expected
6-0, 6-2
W
2026-04-18 · VTC-Griffith · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Janet Mills
+0.004about as expected — took 59% of games against 56% expected
6-4, 7-5
W
Rebecca Dwiggins / Laurel Hallock Koppelman
2026-04-17 · VTC-Griffith · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kyra John
0.019below expectation — took 58% of games against 63% expected
4-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
Fiona Tait / Marjorie Saine
2026-04-04 · VTC-Griffith · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Winnie Woo
0.032below expectation — took 14% of games against 37% expected
6-2, 6-0
L
2026-02-28 · VTC-Griffith · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Rebecca Griffith
+0.028better than expected — took 46% of games against 36% expected
6-7, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-02-22 · VTC-Griffith · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Vicki Blunt
0.046below expectation — took 37% of games against 58% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2026-01-18 · VTC-Griffith · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Vicki Blunt
+0.010better than expected — took 67% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
2026-01-10 · VTC-Griffith · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kyra John
+0.013about as expected — took 50% of games against 46% expected
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
2025-11-23 · PT&E/SJRC-Haas · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Rob Laing
+0.000about as expected — took 38% of games against 42% expected
6-2, 7-6
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.