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Ellen Bowman

Beaverton, OR
3.5C year-end 2025
134 matches · 40W–94L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.55
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 27 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
28%
stay 3.5
72%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 72% stay · 28% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.45. Lower than today’s 3.55 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Beaverton · 3.5
3 of 55
OR · 3.5
35 of 735

Ellen is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams94 teams · 2004–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Ellen has played at 4.0, 3.5 across 8 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

3.03.54.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Ellen has gone from the 30th to the 8th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level7 levels played
3.5
83.3%
5W–1L · 58.5% of games
4.0
21%
13W–49L · 39.5% of games
4.5
0%
0W–6L · 24% of games
7.0
3W–0L
not enough matches yet
8.0
29.2%
7W–17L · 42.2% of games
7.0mixed
25%
4W–12L · 43% of games
8.0mixed
20%
1W–4L · 40.4% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history134 matches
W
2026-06-28 · THPRD-Sivertsen/Lindsay · #3 Doubles · with Jennifer Stevenson
+0.044better than expected — took 80% of games against 55% expected
6-0, 6-3
W
2026-06-27 · THPRD-Sivertsen/Lindsay · #1 Doubles · with Jennifer Stevenson
0.014below expectation — took 47% of games against 55% expected
0-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
2026-06-26 · THPRD-Sivertsen/Lindsay · #2 Doubles · with Jennifer Stevenson
+0.028better than expected — took 80% of games against 61% expected
6-3, 6-0
L
2026-05-31 · THPRD-Sivertsen/Lindsay · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Tomoko Hori
+0.020better than expected — took 48% of games against 39% expected
5-7, 6-4, 1-0
W
Edwin Becker / Shaun Andersonmixed
2026-05-22 · THPRD-Bailey/Dellinger · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Michael Rich
+0.000better than expected — took 60% of games against 42% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
2026-05-08 · THPRD-Sivertsen/Lindsay · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Beth Steffes
0.013below expectation — took 33% of games against 42% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
Mihee Park / JIN PARKmixed
2026-04-26 · THPRD-Bailey/Dellinger · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Michael Rich
+0.000below expectation — took 33% of games against 41% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
2026-03-29 · THPRD-Bailey/Dellinger · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Aaron Bowman
+0.000below expectation — took 57% of games against 62% expected
6-4, 7-6
L
2026-03-27 · THPRD-Sivertsen/Lindsay · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Tomoko Hori
+0.008about as expected — took 38% of games against 38% expected
7-5, 6-3
W
2026-03-20 · THPRD-Hockman/Martes · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Nicole Norby
+0.004about as expected — took 57% of games against 55% expected
6-4, 7-6
W
2026-03-08 · THPRD-Hockman/Martes · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Tomoko Hori
+0.003better than expected — took 86% of games against 72% expected
6-1, 6-1
L
2026-03-01 · THPRD-Sivertsen/Kershaw · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Julie Bradford
+0.021about as expected — took 29% of games against 29% expected
6-2, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.