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Kirsten Holmes

Portland, OR
4.0C year-end 2025
83 matches · 40W–43L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.54
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 9 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
31%
down to 3.5
69%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 18% down · 82% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.57. Higher than today’s 3.54 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 4.0
230 of 266
OR · 4.0
427 of 498

Kirsten is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Kirsten has played at 4.0, 3.5 across 8 seasons — 1 move up and 1 down.

3.03.54.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Kirsten has gone from the 22nd to the 76th percentile of players at that level, 2020 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.5
75%
9W–3L · 59.6% of games
4.0
35%
14W–26L · 47.3% of games
8.0
60%
3W–2L · 57.1% of games
9.0
2W–0L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
71.4%
5W–2L · 51.9% of games
8.0mixed
50%
2W–2L · 42.6% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history83 matches
L
2026-05-31 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Christy Strange
−0.028below expectation — took 38% of games against 52% expected
6-3, 7-5
W
2026-05-30 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Mark King
+0.000below expectation — took 50% of games against 57% expected
2-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
2026-04-19 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Leah Buxman
−0.023below expectation — took 38% of games against 50% expected
6-2, 7-6
L
2026-04-05 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Mark King
+0.000below expectation — took 37% of games against 42% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2026-03-14 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Leah Buxman
+0.044better than expected — took 80% of games against 55% expected
6-0, 6-3
W
2026-02-14 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Whitney Palfreyman
−0.004about as expected — took 68% of games against 65% expected
7-5, 6-1
W
2026-01-11 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Leah Buxman
+0.051better than expected — took 71% of games against 45% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
2025-11-15 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Mary Klinger
+0.012about as expected — took 40% of games against 37% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
2025-11-02 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Jan Rothert
−0.028about as expected — took 67% of games against 71% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
2025-05-17 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Tina Farrelly
−0.026below expectation — took 37% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
2025-04-12 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Courtney Storrs
−0.032below expectation — took 63% of games against 70% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2025-02-15 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Sara van Beckum
−0.037below expectation — took 43% of games against 61% expected
7-6, 1-6, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.